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QUICK ANSWER

Is Kylian Mbappé in the World Cup 2026?

Yes — Kylian Mbappé is in France's 26-man World Cup 2026 squad and plays his club football for Real Madrid. France are in Group I; their next match is against Senegal. Onside's model gives France a 66% chance to reach the Round of 16 and 12.6% to win the tournament.
● NEXT FIXTURE · GROUP I

When does Kylian Mbappé play next?

Kylian Mbappé and France face Iraq on Mon 22 Jun, 22:00 BST (Mon, Jun 22, 5:00 PM ET) in Philadelphia — Group I MD2.

🇫🇷
France
FIFA #1
HOME
VS
MD2
🇮🇶
Iraq
FIFA #57
Model verdict
France 91%Draw 6%Iraq 3%
Match prediction →Probable lineup →Advance scenarios →
FRANCE · GROUP I · REAL MADRID

Kylian Mbappé

FRANCEPL · REAL MADRID

“Kylian Mbappé carries France's World Cup hopes through Group I — model projects — pts-per-90 across the three group-stage fixtures.”

ONSIDE AI · MODEL v5

PROJ PPG · MODEL
—
vs ALL OUTFIELDS IN TOP-100
0.07.0
HOW FAR DOES MBAPPÉ GO?
ROUND OF 16
66%
QUARTER-FINAL
49%
SEMI-FINAL
32%
FINAL
20%
CHAMPION
13%

Cumulative probabilities · Updated each match · 60-min refresh

PHOTO · WIKIMEDIA COMMONS

TOURNAMENT STATS · UPDATES EVERY MATCH

Live stat sheet

Matches
—
pre-debut
Minutes
—
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
—
outfield
xG
—
pre-debut
Proj xP/90
—
model
Fantasy pts
0
Onside calc

Stats refresh after every match (60s ISR + football-data 15s upstream cache). xG is approximated until shot-level data ships; clean sheets currently track GKs only.

ONSIDE MODEL · TOURNAMENT IMPACT MAP

Mbappé's match-by-match expected output

Per-match expected points combine the model's win probability for France, projected per-90 output, and assumed minutes share. Cells dim as the journey grows uncertain.

MD 116 Jun
vs sen
56%
0.0EXP PTS
MD 222 Jun
vs irq
91%
0.0EXP PTS
MD 326 Jun
vs nor
69%
0.0EXP PTS
R16
Round of 16
66%
0.0EXP PTS
QF
Quarter-final
49%
0.0EXP PTS
SF
Semi-final
32%
0.0EXP PTS
FINAL
Final
20%
0.0EXP PTS

Knockout cells dashed to signal contingency · Click any group cell to open the prediction.

ONSIDE RADAR · WC 2026 MODEL

Kylian Mbappé — the player profile

France #1 · Real Madrid

5-AXIS PROFILE
ATTACK74PLAYMAKING79TACTICAL94PHYSICAL92DEFENDING76
Kylian MbappéAverage pro · 75
ONSIDE MODEL · WC 2026 PROJECTION
EXP. GOALS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
EXP. ASSISTS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
xG / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
xA / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
MINUTES SHARE
70%
rotation-risk band
POSITION
—
Real Madrid

Ratings synthesised by Onside's model from team rank + position cohort + recent fixtures. Refreshed every 60 minutes.

Kylian Mbappé's group-stage fixtures

3 MATCHES · MODEL WIN-PROBABILITIES SHOWN

vs Senegal (home)
MD1 · Tue 16 Jun · 19:00 UTC · East Rutherford
56%/23%/21%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE
vs Iraq (home)
MD2 · Mon 22 Jun · 21:00 UTC · Philadelphia
91%/6%/3%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE
vs Norway (away)
MD3 · Fri 26 Jun · 19:00 UTC · Foxborough
69%/18%/13%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE

Other France stars at WC 2026

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Ibrahima Konaté
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Maxence Lacroix
Crystal Palace
William Saliba
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Rayan Cherki
Man City
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Crystal Palace

More World Cup 2026

Full France pageFrance's chances at the World CupGolden Boot boardFantasy captainsAll predictions
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