Bosnia & Herzegovina vs QatarWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Bosnia & Herzegovina 31%, draw 27%, and Qatar 42%. Qatar is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group B fixture on Wednesday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Qatar sits 10 places above Bosnia & Herzegovina in the FIFA ranking (#55 vs #65) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Qatar to 42% and pushes Bosnia & Herzegovina down to 31%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Underdog still has 58% combined chance of an upset or draw — flagged as Upset Watch.
The four signals, side-by-side
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