MODEL PREDICTION · GROUP C · MD2

Brazil vs HaitiWin Probability & Model Prediction

Saturday, 20 June 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Philadelphia

Onside's AI model gives Brazil 96%, draw 3%, and Haiti 1%. Brazil is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group C fixture on Saturday.

BRAZIL WIN
96%
DRAW
3%
HAITI WIN
1%
Brazil96%
Draw 3%
1%Haiti
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FAV BRA · STRONG CONFIDENCE
MODEL RATIONALE

FIFA rank gap drives the model

Brazil sits 77 places above Haiti in the FIFA ranking (#6 vs #83) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Brazil to 96% and pushes Haiti down to 1%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Brazil as a strong favourite.

WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS

The four signals, side-by-side

FIFA RANKING
Brazil
#6
Haiti
#83
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Brazil
8
Haiti
3
HOST EDGE
Brazil
Haiti
CONFEDERATION
Brazil
CONMEBOL
Haiti
CONCACAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD

The PL names in each squad

Brazil8 PL
  • Alisson BeckerLiverpool
  • Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal
  • Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle
  • CasemiroMan Utd
  • Matheus CunhaMan Utd
  • Igor ThiagoBrentford
  • Gabriel MartinelliArsenal
  • RayanBournemouth
Haiti3 PL
  • Jean-Ricner BellegardeWolves
  • Wilson IsidorSunderland
  • Hannes DelcroixBurnley
Brazil full team page →Haiti full team page →Compare radar →All predictions →
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