MODEL PREDICTION · GROUP K · MD2

Colombia vs DR CongoWin Probability & Model Prediction

Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 02:00 UTC · Zapopan

Onside's AI model gives Colombia 75%, draw 15%, and DR Congo 10%. Colombia is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group K fixture on Wednesday.

COLOMBIA WIN
75%
DRAW
15%
DR CONGO WIN
10%
Colombia75%
Draw 15%
10%DR Congo
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FAV COL · STRONG CONFIDENCE
MODEL RATIONALE

FIFA rank gap drives the model

Colombia sits 33 places above DR Congo in the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #46) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Colombia to 75% and pushes DR Congo down to 10%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Colombia as a strong favourite.

WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS

The four signals, side-by-side

FIFA RANKING
Colombia
#13
DR Congo
#46
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Colombia
2
DR Congo
2
HOST EDGE
Colombia
DR Congo
CONFEDERATION
Colombia
CONMEBOL
DR Congo
CAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD

The PL names in each squad

Colombia2 PL
  • Daniel MuñozCrystal Palace
  • Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace
DR Congo2 PL
  • Yoane WissaNewcastle
  • Aaron Wan-BissakaWest Ham
Colombia full team page →DR Congo full team page →Compare radar →All predictions →
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