Czechia vs MexicoWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Czechia 12%, draw 17%, and Mexico 71%. Mexico is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group A fixture on Thursday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Mexico sits 26 places above Czechia in the FIFA ranking (#15 vs #41) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Mexico to 71% and pushes Czechia down to 12%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Mexico as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Tomáš SoučekWest Ham
- Ladislav KrejčíWolves
- Raúl JiménezFulham
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