England vs GhanaWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives England 95%, draw 3%, and Ghana 2%. England is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group L fixture on Tuesday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
England sits 70 places above Ghana in the FIFA ranking (#4 vs #74) — the model's dominant input. That lifts England to 95% and pushes Ghana down to 2%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats England as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Dean HendersonCrystal Palace
- Jordan PickfordEverton
- James TraffordMan City
- Dan BurnNewcastle
- Marc GuéhiCrystal Palace
- Reece JamesChelsea
- Ezri KonsaAston Villa
- Tino LivramentoNewcastle
- + 13 more
- Antoine SemenyoMan City
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