France vs IraqWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives France 91%, draw 6%, and Iraq 3%. France is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group I fixture on Monday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
France sits 56 places above Iraq in the FIFA ranking (#1 vs #57) — the model's dominant input. That lifts France to 91% and pushes Iraq down to 3%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats France as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Lucas DigneAston Villa
- Malo GustoChelsea
- Ibrahima KonatéLiverpool
- Maxence LacroixCrystal Palace
- William SalibaArsenal
- Rayan CherkiMan City
- Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace
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