Germany vs CuraçaoWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Germany 95%, draw 3%, and Curaçao 2%. Germany is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group E fixture on Sunday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Germany sits 72 places above Curaçao in the FIFA ranking (#10 vs #82) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Germany to 95% and pushes Curaçao down to 2%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Germany as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Malick ThiawNewcastle
- Pascal GroßBrighton
- Florian WirtzLiverpool
- Kai HavertzArsenal
- Nick WoltemadeNewcastle
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