MODEL PREDICTION · GROUP L · MD1

Ghana vs PanamaWin Probability & Model Prediction

Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Toronto

Onside's AI model gives Ghana 8%, draw 14%, and Panama 78%. Panama is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group L fixture on Wednesday.

GHANA WIN
8%
DRAW
14%
PANAMA WIN
78%
Ghana8%
Draw 14%
78%Panama
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FAV PAN · STRONG CONFIDENCE
MODEL RATIONALE

FIFA rank gap drives the model

Panama sits 41 places above Ghana in the FIFA ranking (#33 vs #74) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Panama to 78% and pushes Ghana down to 8%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Panama as a strong favourite.

WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS

The four signals, side-by-side

FIFA RANKING
Ghana
#74
Panama
#33
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Ghana
1
Panama
0
HOST EDGE
Ghana
Panama
CONFEDERATION
Ghana
CAF
Panama
CONCACAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD

The PL names in each squad

Ghana1 PL
  • Antoine SemenyoMan City
Panama0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
Ghana full team page →Panama full team page →Compare radar →All predictions →
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