Haiti vs ScotlandWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Haiti 7%, draw 12%, and Scotland 81%. Scotland is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group C fixture on Sunday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Scotland sits 40 places above Haiti in the FIFA ranking (#43 vs #83) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Scotland to 81% and pushes Haiti down to 7%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Scotland as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Jean-Ricner BellegardeWolves
- Wilson IsidorSunderland
- Hannes DelcroixBurnley
- Nathan PattersonEverton
- Aaron HickeyBrentford
- Andrew RobertsonLiverpool
- John McGinnAston Villa
- Ben Gannon-DoakBournemouth
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