Iran vs New ZealandWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Iran 92%, draw 5%, and New Zealand 3%. Iran is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group G fixture on Tuesday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Iran sits 64 places above New Zealand in the FIFA ranking (#21 vs #85) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Iran to 92% and pushes New Zealand down to 3%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Iran as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Chris WoodNott'm Forest
- Marko StamenićNott'm Forest
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