New Zealand vs BelgiumWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives New Zealand 1%, draw 3%, and Belgium 96%. Belgium is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group G fixture on Saturday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Belgium sits 76 places above New Zealand in the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #85) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Belgium to 96% and pushes New Zealand down to 1%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Belgium as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Chris WoodNott'm Forest
- Marko StamenićNott'm Forest
- Senne LammensMan Utd
- Timothy CastagneFulham
- Maxim De CuyperBrighton
- Amadou OnanaAston Villa
- Youri TielemansAston Villa
- Jérémy DokuMan City
- Leandro TrossardArsenal
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