New Zealand vs EgyptWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives New Zealand 4%, draw 6%, and Egypt 90%. Egypt is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group G fixture on Monday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Egypt sits 57 places above New Zealand in the FIFA ranking (#28 vs #85) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Egypt to 90% and pushes New Zealand down to 4%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Egypt as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Chris WoodNott'm Forest
- Marko StamenićNott'm Forest
- Omar MarmoushMan City
- Mohamed SalahLiverpool
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