Panama vs CroatiaWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Panama 15%, draw 19%, and Croatia 66%. Croatia is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group L fixture on Tuesday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Croatia sits 22 places above Panama in the FIFA ranking (#11 vs #33) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Croatia to 66% and pushes Panama down to 15%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Croatia as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Joško GvardiolMan City
- Luka VuškovićSpurs
- Mateo KovačićMan City
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