Portugal vs UzbekistanWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Portugal 85%, draw 10%, and Uzbekistan 5%. Portugal is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group K fixture on Tuesday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Portugal sits 45 places above Uzbekistan in the FIFA ranking (#5 vs #50) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Portugal to 85% and pushes Uzbekistan down to 5%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Portugal as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- José SáWolves
- Diogo DalotMan Utd
- Matheus NunesMan City
- Rúben DiasMan City
- Bruno FernandesMan Utd
- Bernardo SilvaMan City
- Pedro NetoChelsea
- Abdukodir KhusanovMan City
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