Scotland vs BrazilWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Scotland 10%, draw 14%, and Brazil 76%. Brazil is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group C fixture on Wednesday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Brazil sits 37 places above Scotland in the FIFA ranking (#6 vs #43) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Brazil to 76% and pushes Scotland down to 10%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Brazil as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Nathan PattersonEverton
- Aaron HickeyBrentford
- Andrew RobertsonLiverpool
- John McGinnAston Villa
- Ben Gannon-DoakBournemouth
- Alisson BeckerLiverpool
- Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal
- Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle
- CasemiroMan Utd
- Matheus CunhaMan Utd
- Igor ThiagoBrentford
- Gabriel MartinelliArsenal
- RayanBournemouth
Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 1.92. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.