Scotland vs MoroccoWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Scotland 13%, draw 17%, and Morocco 70%. Morocco is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group C fixture on Friday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Morocco sits 35 places above Scotland in the FIFA ranking (#8 vs #43) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Morocco to 70% and pushes Scotland down to 13%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Morocco as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Nathan PattersonEverton
- Aaron HickeyBrentford
- Andrew RobertsonLiverpool
- John McGinnAston Villa
- Ben Gannon-DoakBournemouth
- Noussair MazraouiMan Utd
- Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
- Issa DiopWest Ham
- Chemsdine TalbiSunderland
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