Switzerland vs CanadaWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Switzerland 43%, draw 26%, and Canada 31%. Switzerland is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group B fixture on Wednesday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Switzerland sits 11 places above Canada in the FIFA ranking (#19 vs #30) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Switzerland to 43% and pushes Canada down to 31%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Underdog still has 57% combined chance of an upset or draw — flagged as Upset Watch.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Manuel AkanjiMan City
- Granit XhakaSunderland
- Zeki AmdouniBurnley
- Dan NdoyeNott'm Forest
- Noah OkaforLeeds
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