Sweden vs TunisiaWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Sweden 49%, draw 25%, and Tunisia 26%. Sweden is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group F fixture on Monday.
Confederation pedigree decides
Sweden (UEFA) holds a confederation-strength edge over Tunisia (CAF) — historically the gap between UEFA/CONMEBOL pedigree and the rest has been the most reliable knockout signal. With FIFA ranks within 6 places, that confederation weight pushes Sweden to 49% and leaves Tunisia on 26%.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Alexander IsakLiverpool
- Viktor GyökeresArsenal
- Anthony ElangaNewcastle
- Lucas BergvallSpurs
- Yasin AyariBrighton
- Victor LindelöfAston Villa
- Hannibal MejbriBurnley
Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 1.92. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.