Tunisia vs NetherlandsWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Tunisia 7%, draw 12%, and Netherlands 81%. Netherlands is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group F fixture on Thursday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Netherlands sits 37 places above Tunisia in the FIFA ranking (#7 vs #44) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Netherlands to 81% and pushes Tunisia down to 7%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Netherlands as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Hannibal MejbriBurnley
- Mark FlekkenBrentford
- Robin RoefsSunderland
- Bart VerbruggenBrighton
- Nathan AkéMan City
- Virgil van DijkLiverpool
- Jorrel HatoChelsea
- Jan Paul van HeckeBrighton
- Micky van de VenSpurs
- + 9 more
Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 1.92. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.