Türkiye vs United StatesWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Türkiye 25%, draw 25%, and United States 50%. United States is the model favourite (moderate confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group D fixture on Friday.
Host advantage tips it
Ranks are close (#16 vs #22), but United States plays on home soil — the model awards a host edge worth roughly three percentage points pre-tournament. United States comes out 50% vs 25% for Türkiye, with 25% on the draw.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Altay BayındırMan Utd
- Chris RichardsCrystal Palace
- Antonee RobinsonFulham
- Tyler AdamsBournemouth
- Brenden AaronsonLeeds
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