Uzbekistan vs ColombiaWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Uzbekistan 8%, draw 13%, and Colombia 79%. Colombia is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group K fixture on Thursday.
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Colombia sits 37 places above Uzbekistan in the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #50) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Colombia to 79% and pushes Uzbekistan down to 8%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Colombia as a strong favourite.
The four signals, side-by-side
The PL names in each squad
- Abdukodir KhusanovMan City
- Daniel MuñozCrystal Palace
- Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace
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