WILL BRAZIL WIN WORLD CUP 2026?
RANK #6 OF 48 BY MODELFIFA #6CONMEBOL

Brazil7.3% to win

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Brazil a 7.3% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. The model uses FIFA ranking (#6), Premier League squad footprint, host advantage, and CONMEBOL confederation strength as inputs.

Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.

BRAZIL'S TOURNAMENT PATH
R16
68%
QF
43%
SF
25%
FINAL
13.7%
CHAMPION
7.3%
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