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Will Egypt win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Egypt a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — currently ranked #36 of 48 by champion probability. The team reaches the Round of 16 in 10% of simulations, the semi-finals in 1%, and the final in 0.1%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model (rating Egypt at FIFA #28, CAF). Probabilities refresh hourly as group-stage results land.
WILL EGYPT WIN WORLD CUP 2026?
RANK #36 OF 48 BY MODELFIFA #28CAF

Egypt0.0% to win

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Egypt a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. Onside's calibrated team-strength model rates Egypt(FIFA #28, CAF) against every other contender.

Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.

EGYPT'S TOURNAMENT PATH
R16
10%
QF
4%
SF
1%
FINAL
0.1%
CHAMPION
0.0%
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FAQ · Egypt at World Cup 2026

Will Egypt win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Egypt a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — ranked #36 of 48 by champion probability. The model re-runs hourly as group-stage results land.

How far will Egypt go at the World Cup 2026?

Egypt reaches the Round of 16 10% of the time in simulation, the semi-finals 1%, and the final 0.1%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model, which rates Egypt (FIFA #28, CAF) against the rest of the field.

What is Egypt's rank in the Onside model?

Egypt sits #36 of 48 by Onside model champion probability — based on Onside's calibrated team-strength model.

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