WILL MOROCCO WIN WORLD CUP 2026?
RANK #13 OF 48 BY MODELFIFA #8CAF

Morocco3.1% to win

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Morocco a 3.1% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. The model uses FIFA ranking (#8), Premier League squad footprint, host advantage, and CAF confederation strength as inputs.

Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.

MOROCCO'S TOURNAMENT PATH
R16
59%
QF
32%
SF
16%
FINAL
6.6%
CHAMPION
3.1%
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← Full winner boardMorocco team page →How the model works →
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