WILL SWITZERLAND WIN WORLD CUP 2026?
RANK #16 OF 48 BY MODELFIFA #19UEFA

Switzerland1.4% to win

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Switzerland a 1.4% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. The model uses FIFA ranking (#19), Premier League squad footprint, host advantage, and UEFA confederation strength as inputs.

Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.

SWITZERLAND'S TOURNAMENT PATH
R16
50%
QF
23%
SF
9%
FINAL
3.4%
CHAMPION
1.4%
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← Full winner boardSwitzerland team page →How the model works →
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