Who will win Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
IPS goals down, BOU goals across
| IPS ↓ | BOU 0 | BOU 1 | BOU 2 | BOU 3 | BOU 4 | BOU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPS 0 | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| IPS 1 | 5.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| IPS 2 | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| IPS 3 | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| IPS 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| IPS 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.9%.
Ipswich Town v Bournemouth
Onside's model gives Ipswich Town a 31% chance of beating Bournemouth in Gameweek 10, with 26% on the draw and 43% on an away win. The score prediction is Ipswich Town 1–2 Bournemouth, from expected goals of 1.36 to 1.64. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).