Who will win Manchester United vs Coventry City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
MUN goals down, COV goals across
| MUN ↓ | COV 0 | COV 1 | COV 2 | COV 3 | COV 4 | COV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUN 0 | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MUN 1 | 8.0% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MUN 2 | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MUN 3 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MUN 4 | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MUN 5 | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.8%.
Manchester United v Coventry City
Onside's model gives Manchester United a 55% chance of beating Coventry City in Gameweek 14, with 24% on the draw and 21% on an away win. The score prediction is Manchester United 2–1 Coventry City, from expected goals of 2.27 to 0.96. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).