WORLD CUP 2026 · GROUP D

Group DUnited States, Türkiye, Australia, Paraguay

Group D is balanced but stratified. United States is the clear favourite to top the group; second place looks like a coin-toss between the middle two. The opener and Matchday 2 cross-match usually settle it, with Matchday 3 either confirming or upending expectations.

The four teams

ADVANCE PROBABILITY · PRE-TOURNAMENT
FIFA RANK · SEED-BASED MODEL

How each team starts the tournament

Probability of reaching the Round of 32. The top 2 from each group advance directly; the 4 best third-place finishers across all 12 groups also advance — so even a third-place team has a real path through. Updates each matchday once results land.

255075100United States92%Türkiye74%Australia42%Paraguay18%PRE-TOURN.MD 1MD 2MD 3
SOLID = current · DASHED = projection · HOVER A RIBBON TO ISOLATEUnited States most likely to advance
THE FPL OVERLAP

Premier League stars in Group D

United States
4 PL stars
Chris RichardsCrystal Palace
Antonee RobinsonFulham
Tyler AdamsBournemouth
Brenden AaronsonLeeds
Türkiye

No regular Premier League players in current 26-man pool.

Australia

No regular Premier League players in current 26-man pool.

Paraguay

No regular Premier League players in current 26-man pool.

Source: Premier League official article (29 May 2026). ~ marks players inferred from secondary reporting for nations whose squads were TBA at publish time.

All 6 fixtures

MDDateUTCMatch
1Sat 13 Jun01:00
United StatesvParaguay
1Sun 14 Jun04:00
AustraliavTürkiye
2Fri 19 Jun19:00
United StatesvAustralia
2Sat 20 Jun03:00
TürkiyevParaguay
3Fri 26 Jun02:00
TürkiyevUnited States
3Fri 26 Jun02:00
ParaguayvAustralia
EXPLORE THE TOURNAMENT
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS

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