WORLD CUP 2026 · GROUP I

Group IFrance, Senegal, Norway, Iraq

Group I is the most lopsided group of the tournament — a 56-place ranking gap between top and bottom. France should reach the round of 32 comfortably; the more interesting story is the fight for second and the third-place slot, where any of the lower-ranked sides could surprise.

The four teams

ADVANCE PROBABILITY · PRE-TOURNAMENT
FIFA RANK · SEED-BASED MODEL

How each team starts the tournament

Probability of reaching the Round of 32. The top 2 from each group advance directly; the 4 best third-place finishers across all 12 groups also advance — so even a third-place team has a real path through. Updates each matchday once results land.

255075100France92%Senegal74%Norway42%Iraq18%PRE-TOURN.MD 1MD 2MD 3
SOLID = current · DASHED = projection · HOVER A RIBBON TO ISOLATEFrance most likely to advance
THE FPL OVERLAP

Premier League stars in Group I

France
7 PL stars
Lucas DigneAston Villa
Malo GustoChelsea
Ibrahima KonatéLiverpool
Maxence LacroixCrystal Palace
William SalibaArsenal
Rayan CherkiMan City
Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace
Senegal
8 PL stars
Mamadou SarrChelsea
El-Hadji Malick DioufWest Ham
Idrissa GueyeEverton
Habib DiarraSunderland
Pape Matar SarrSpurs
Iliman NdiayeEverton
Nicolas JacksonChelsea
Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace
Norway
7 PL stars
David Møller WolfeWolves
Kristoffer AjerBrentford
Martin ØdegaardArsenal
Sander BergeFulham
Erling HaalandMan City
Jørgen Strand LarsenCrystal Palace
Oscar BobbFulham
Iraq

No regular Premier League players in current 26-man pool.

Source: Premier League official article (29 May 2026). ~ marks players inferred from secondary reporting for nations whose squads were TBA at publish time.

All 6 fixtures

MDDateUTCMatch
1Tue 16 Jun19:00
FrancevSenegal
1Tue 16 Jun22:00
IraqvNorway
2Mon 22 Jun21:00
FrancevIraq
2Tue 23 Jun00:00
NorwayvSenegal
3Fri 26 Jun19:00
NorwayvFrance
3Fri 26 Jun19:00
SenegalvIraq
EXPLORE THE TOURNAMENT
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS

Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks

Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.

Weekly digest

Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.

One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.

SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL

Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.

v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 1.92. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.