MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Austria sits 39 places above Jordan in the FIFA ranking (#24 vs #63) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Austria to 81% and pushes Jordan down to 7%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Austria as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Austria
#24
Jordan
#63
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Austria
0
Jordan
0
HOST EDGE
Austria
—
Jordan
—
CONFEDERATION
Austria
UEFA
Jordan
AFC
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