Who will win Brazil vs Haiti?
Brazil vs HaitiWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Brazil 87%, draw 10%, and Haiti 3%. Brazil is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group C fixture on Saturday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Brazil vs Haiti World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Brazil 87%, draw 10%, and Haiti 3% — brazil favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Brazil vs Haiti prediction score
Expected scoreline: 3–1 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Brazil 3, Haiti 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Brazil vs Haiti head to head
Group C fixture at Philadelphia, kickoff Sat 20 Jun, 00:30 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (BRA #6 vs HAI #83), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Brazil vs Haiti line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Model picked Brazil — they took the result. Adds to the running accuracy score.
Ranking gap is the story
Brazil sit 77 places above Haiti in the FIFA ranking (#6 vs #83) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Brazil comes out at 87%, Haiti at 3%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a strong call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Alisson BeckerLiverpool
- Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal
- Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle
- CasemiroMan Utd
- Matheus CunhaMan Utd
- Igor ThiagoBrentford
- Gabriel MartinelliArsenal
- RayanBournemouth
- Jean-Ricner BellegardeWolves
- Wilson IsidorSunderland
- Hannes DelcroixBurnley
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Same model. Bigger season.
Onside’s engine called 67 of 80 decisive World Cup matches — 84%, and 24 of 28 in the knockouts. It is now pointed at Fantasy Premier League, where it scores 0.86 mean absolute error across 51,518 out-of-sample predictions.
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