MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Brazil sits 77 places above Haiti in the FIFA ranking (#6 vs #83) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Brazil to 96% and pushes Haiti down to 1%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Brazil as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Brazil
#6
Haiti
#83
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Brazil
6
Haiti
0
HOST EDGE
Brazil
—
Haiti
—
CONFEDERATION
Brazil
CONMEBOL
Haiti
CONCACAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Brazil6 PL
- Alisson BeckerLiverpool
- Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal
- Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle
- CasemiroMan Utd
- Matheus CunhaMan Utd
- Igor ThiagoBrentford
Haiti0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
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