MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Canada sits 25 places above Qatar in the FIFA ranking (#30 vs #55) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Canada to 75% and pushes Qatar down to 10%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Canada as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Canada
#30
Qatar
#55
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Canada
0
Qatar
0
HOST EDGE
Canada
YES
Qatar
—
CONFEDERATION
Canada
CONCACAF
Qatar
AFC
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS
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