PREMIER LEAGUE 26/27
34DAYS TO KICK-OFF
One final left. The new season is already called — all 380 matches, the final table, the fantasy edge.
QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia?

Onside's model gives Cape Verde a 46% win probability (34% draw, Saudi Arabia 20%). The model's projected scoreline is Cape Verde 11 Saudi Arabia. We publish every prediction before kickoff and grade it after full time. See every graded prediction. Full match breakdown below.
Live model · updated moments ago · re-runs at kickoff67/82 calls right (82%) — see the record →
Analysis by the Onside model · ensemble ML, 0.86 MAEPublic track recordMethodologyUpdated 2026-07-19
MODEL PREDICTION · GROUP H · MD3

Cape Verde vs Saudi ArabiaWin Probability & Model Prediction

Saturday, 27 June 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Houston

Onside's AI model gives Cape Verde 46%, draw 34%, and Saudi Arabia 20%. Cape Verde is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group H fixture on Saturday.

CAPE VERDE WIN
46%
DRAW
34%
SAUDI ARABIA WIN
20%
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.190.69
★ MODE
00
16.9%
10
16.7%
11
14.0%
20
10.8%
01
9.0%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
29%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
36%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Cape Verde 46%, draw 34%, and Saudi Arabia 20% — cape verde favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia prediction score

Expected scoreline: 11 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Cape Verde 1, Saudi Arabia 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia head to head

Group H fixture at Houston, kickoff Sat 27 Jun, 00:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (CPV #69 vs KSA #61), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

MODEL SAID · HERE'S WHAT HAPPENED
DRAW · MODEL FAVOURITE DIDN'T WIN
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CPV / D / KSA
FINAL SCORE
00

Model favoured Cape Verde — they couldn't separate. Draws count against favourite-wins-only accuracy.

TRACK THIS
SHAREXRedditWhatsApp
FAV CPV · NARROW CONFIDENCEUPSET WATCH
MODEL RATIONALE

Narrow edge to the favourite

Cape Verde (#69) edge Saudi Arabia (#61) on a combination of ranking and squad depth. 46% to Saudi Arabia's 20%, with 34% on the draw — a narrow-confidence call, not a foregone conclusion.

MATCH CONTEXT

How the teams compare

WORLD RANKING
Cape Verde
#69
Saudi Arabia
#61
PREMIER LEAGUE PRESENCE
Cape Verde
0
Saudi Arabia
0
HOME SOIL
Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia
REGION
Cape Verde
CAF
Saudi Arabia
AFC
ONSIDE PREDICTION GAME · FREE TO PLAY

Win 12 months of premium predictions FREE by picking match scores

5 right
1 month
free
10 right
3 months
free
Perfect bracket
12 months
free

Pick scorelines for upcoming fixtures. Every correct call moves you up the ladder. No payment, no card. Just predictions.

Start picking →
Free · no spam

Get this model’s calls before kickoff

One email per matchday: every World Cup 2026 prediction graded ✓/✗ the morning after, plus FIFA Fantasy captain picks. Free, no account needed.

Want your picks & team saved? Create a free account →

Cape Verde full team page →Saudi Arabia full team page →Compare radar →All predictions →
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS

Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks

Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.

Weekly digest

Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.

One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.

SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL

Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.

v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.