MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Ivory Coast sits 48 places above Curaçao in the FIFA ranking (#34 vs #82) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Ivory Coast to 84% and pushes Curaçao down to 6%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Ivory Coast as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Curaçao
#82
Ivory Coast
#34
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Curaçao
0
Ivory Coast
4
HOST EDGE
Curaçao
—
Ivory Coast
—
CONFEDERATION
Curaçao
CONCACAF
Ivory Coast
CAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Curaçao0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
Ivory Coast4 PL
- Ibrahim SangaréNott'm Forest
- Simon AdingraSunderland
- Amad DialloMan Utd
- Evann GuessandAston Villa
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