MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Spain sits 67 places above Cape Verde in the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #69) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Spain to 94% and pushes Cape Verde down to 2%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Spain as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Spain
#2
Cape Verde
#69
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Spain
7
Cape Verde
0
HOST EDGE
Spain
—
Cape Verde
—
CONFEDERATION
Spain
UEFA
Cape Verde
CAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Spain7 PL
- David RayaArsenal
- Pedro PorroSpurs
- Marc CucurellaChelsea
- RodriMan City
- Martín ZubimendiArsenal
- Mikel MerinoArsenal
- Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace
Cape Verde0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
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