PREMIER LEAGUE 26/27
21DAYS TO KICK-OFF
The World Cup is done. The new season is already called — all 380 matches, the final table, the fantasy edge.
QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Ghana vs Panama?

Onside's model gives Ghana a 41% win probability (37% draw, Panama 22%). The model's projected scoreline is Ghana 11 Panama. We publish every prediction before kickoff and grade it after full time. See every graded prediction. Full match breakdown below.
Live model · updated moments ago · re-runs at kickoff68/83 calls right (82%) — see the record →
Analysis by the Onside model · ensemble ML, 0.86 MAEPublic track recordMethodologyUpdated 2026-08-01
MODEL PREDICTION · GROUP L · MD1

Ghana vs PanamaWin Probability & Model Prediction

Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Toronto

Onside's AI model gives Ghana 41%, draw 37%, and Panama 22%. Ghana is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group L fixture on Wednesday.

GHANA WIN
41%
DRAW
37%
PANAMA WIN
22%
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.010.66
★ MODE
00
20.3%
10
17.5%
11
14.1%
01
10.9%
20
9.6%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
24%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
32%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Ghana vs Panama World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Ghana 41%, draw 37%, and Panama 22% — ghana favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Ghana vs Panama prediction score

Expected scoreline: 11 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Ghana 1, Panama 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.

Ghana vs Panama head to head

Group L fixture at Toronto, kickoff Wed 17 Jun, 23:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (GHA #74 vs PAN #33), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.

Ghana vs Panama line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

MODEL SAID · HERE'S WHAT HAPPENED
MODEL CORRECT
PRE-MATCH MODEL
GHA / D / PAN
FINAL SCORE
10

Model picked Ghana — they took the result. Adds to the running accuracy score.

TRACK THIS
SHAREXRedditWhatsApp
FAV GHA · NARROW CONFIDENCE
MODEL RATIONALE

Narrow edge to the favourite

Ghana (#74) edge Panama (#33) on a combination of ranking and squad depth. 41% to Panama's 22%, with 37% on the draw — a narrow-confidence call, not a foregone conclusion.

MATCH CONTEXT

How the teams compare

WORLD RANKING
Ghana
#74
Panama
#33
PREMIER LEAGUE PRESENCE
Ghana
1
Panama
0
HOME SOIL
Ghana
Panama
REGION
Ghana
CAF
Panama
CONCACAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD

The PL names in each squad

Ghana1 PL
  • Antoine SemenyoMan City
Panama0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
ONSIDE PREDICTION GAME · FREE TO PLAY

Win 12 months of premium predictions FREE by picking match scores

5 right
1 month
free
10 right
3 months
free
Perfect bracket
12 months
free

Pick scorelines for upcoming fixtures. Every correct call moves you up the ladder. No payment, no card. Just predictions.

Start picking →
Free · no spam

Get this model’s calls before kickoff

One email per matchday: every World Cup 2026 prediction graded ✓/✗ the morning after, plus FIFA Fantasy captain picks. Free, no account needed.

Want your picks & team saved? Create a free account →

All predictions →
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS

Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks

Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.

Weekly digest

Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.

One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.

SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL

Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.

v5 engine · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.