MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Scotland sits 40 places above Haiti in the FIFA ranking (#43 vs #83) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Scotland to 81% and pushes Haiti down to 7%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Scotland as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Haiti
#83
Scotland
#43
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Haiti
0
Scotland
0
HOST EDGE
Haiti
—
Scotland
—
CONFEDERATION
Haiti
CONCACAF
Scotland
UEFA
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS
Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL
Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 1.92. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.