MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Iran sits 64 places above New Zealand in the FIFA ranking (#21 vs #85) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Iran to 92% and pushes New Zealand down to 3%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Iran as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Iran
#21
New Zealand
#85
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Iran
0
New Zealand
0
HOST EDGE
Iran
—
New Zealand
—
CONFEDERATION
Iran
AFC
New Zealand
OFC
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS
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