MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Algeria sits 34 places above Jordan in the FIFA ranking (#29 vs #63) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Algeria to 74% and pushes Jordan down to 11%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Algeria as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Jordan
#63
Algeria
#29
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Jordan
0
Algeria
0
HOST EDGE
Jordan
—
Algeria
—
CONFEDERATION
Jordan
AFC
Algeria
CAF
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