Who will win Morocco vs Haiti?
Morocco vs HaitiWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Morocco 79%, draw 14%, and Haiti 7%. Morocco is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group C fixture on Wednesday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Morocco vs Haiti World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Morocco 79%, draw 14%, and Haiti 7% — morocco favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Morocco vs Haiti prediction score
Expected scoreline: 3–1 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Morocco 3, Haiti 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Morocco vs Haiti head to head
Group C fixture at Atlanta, kickoff Wed 24 Jun, 22:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (MAR #8 vs HAI #83), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Morocco vs Haiti line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Model picked Morocco — they took the result. Adds to the running accuracy score.
Ranking gap is the story
Morocco sit 75 places above Haiti in the FIFA ranking (#8 vs #83) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Morocco comes out at 79%, Haiti at 7%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a strong call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Noussair MazraouiMan Utd
- Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
- Issa DiopWest Ham
- Chemsdine TalbiSunderland
- Jean-Ricner BellegardeWolves
- Wilson IsidorSunderland
- Hannes DelcroixBurnley
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Onside’s engine called 67 of 80 decisive World Cup matches — 84%, and 24 of 28 in the knockouts. It is now pointed at Fantasy Premier League, where it scores 0.86 mean absolute error across 51,518 out-of-sample predictions.
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