MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Morocco sits 75 places above Haiti in the FIFA ranking (#8 vs #83) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Morocco to 95% and pushes Haiti down to 2%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Morocco as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Morocco
#8
Haiti
#83
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Morocco
4
Haiti
0
HOST EDGE
Morocco
—
Haiti
—
CONFEDERATION
Morocco
CAF
Haiti
CONCACAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Morocco4 PL
- Noussair MazraouiMan Utd
- Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
- Issa DiopFulham
- Chemsdine TalbiSunderland
Haiti0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
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