MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Belgium sits 76 places above New Zealand in the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #85) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Belgium to 96% and pushes New Zealand down to 1%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Belgium as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
New Zealand
#85
Belgium
#9
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
New Zealand
0
Belgium
8
HOST EDGE
New Zealand
—
Belgium
—
CONFEDERATION
New Zealand
OFC
Belgium
UEFA
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
New Zealand0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
Belgium8 PL
- Senne LammensMan Utd
- Mike PendersChelsea
- Timothy CastagneFulham
- Maxim De CuyperBrighton
- Amadou OnanaAston Villa
- Youri TielemansAston Villa
- Jérémy DokuMan City
- Leandro TrossardArsenal
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