MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Croatia sits 22 places above Panama in the FIFA ranking (#11 vs #33) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Croatia to 66% and pushes Panama down to 15%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Croatia as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Panama
#33
Croatia
#11
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Panama
0
Croatia
3
HOST EDGE
Panama
—
Croatia
—
CONFEDERATION
Panama
CONCACAF
Croatia
UEFA
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Panama0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
Croatia3 PL
- Joško GvardiolMan City
- Luka VuškovićSpurs
- Mateo KovačićMan City
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS
Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL
Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 1.92. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.