MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Morocco sits 35 places above Scotland in the FIFA ranking (#8 vs #43) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Morocco to 70% and pushes Scotland down to 12%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Morocco as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Scotland
#43
Morocco
#8
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Scotland
0
Morocco
4
HOST EDGE
Scotland
—
Morocco
—
CONFEDERATION
Scotland
UEFA
Morocco
CAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Scotland0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
Morocco4 PL
- Noussair MazraouiMan Utd
- Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
- Issa DiopFulham
- Chemsdine TalbiSunderland
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