MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Senegal sits 43 places above Iraq in the FIFA ranking (#14 vs #57) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Senegal to 82% and pushes Iraq down to 7%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Senegal as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Senegal
#14
Iraq
#57
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Senegal
8
Iraq
0
HOST EDGE
Senegal
—
Iraq
—
CONFEDERATION
Senegal
CAF
Iraq
AFC
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Senegal8 PL
- Mamadou SarrChelsea
- El-Hadji Malick DioufWest Ham
- Idrissa GueyeEverton
- Habib DiarraSunderland
- Pape Matar SarrSpurs
- Iliman NdiayeEverton
- Nicolas JacksonChelsea
- Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace
Iraq0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
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