MODEL RATIONALE
FIFA rank gap drives the model
Switzerland sits 46 places above Bosnia & Herzegovina in the FIFA ranking (#19 vs #65) — the model's dominant input. That lifts Switzerland to 83% and pushes Bosnia & Herzegovina down to 7%, with the draw absorbing the rest. Model treats Switzerland as a strong favourite.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Switzerland
#19
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#65
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Switzerland
4
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0
HOST EDGE
Switzerland
—
Bosnia & Herzegovina
—
CONFEDERATION
Switzerland
UEFA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
UEFA
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Switzerland4 PL
- Granit XhakaSunderland
- Zeki AmdouniBurnley
- Dan NdoyeNott'm Forest
- Noah OkaforLeeds
Bosnia & Herzegovina0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
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