MODEL RATIONALE
Host advantage tips it
Ranks are close (#16 vs #22), but United States plays on home soil — the model awards a host edge worth roughly three percentage points pre-tournament. United States comes out 51% vs 25% for Türkiye, with 24% on the draw.
WHY THE MODEL THINKS THIS
The four signals, side-by-side
FIFA RANKING
Türkiye
#22
United States
#16
PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
Türkiye
0
United States
4
HOST EDGE
Türkiye
—
United States
YES
CONFEDERATION
Türkiye
UEFA
United States
CONCACAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD
The PL names in each squad
Türkiye0 PL
No current Premier League names in this squad.
United States4 PL
- Chris RichardsCrystal Palace
- Antonee RobinsonFulham
- Tyler AdamsBournemouth
- Brenden AaronsonLeeds
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