Who will win Uruguay vs Cape Verde?
Uruguay vs Cape VerdeWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Uruguay 37%, draw 34%, and Cape Verde 29%. Uruguay is the model favourite (level confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group H fixture on Sunday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Uruguay vs Cape Verde World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Uruguay 37%, draw 34%, and Cape Verde 29% — uruguay favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Uruguay vs Cape Verde prediction score
Expected scoreline: 1–1 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Uruguay 1, Cape Verde 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Uruguay vs Cape Verde head to head
Group H fixture at Miami Gardens, kickoff Sun 21 Jun, 22:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (URU #17 vs CPV #69), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Uruguay vs Cape Verde line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Model favoured Uruguay — they couldn't separate. Draws count against favourite-wins-only accuracy.
Ranking gap is the story
Uruguay sit 52 places above Cape Verde in the FIFA ranking (#17 vs #69) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Uruguay comes out at 37%, Cape Verde at 29%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a level call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Manuel UgarteMan Utd
- Rodrigo BentancurSpurs
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