Who will win Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Uzbekistan vs ColombiaWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Uzbekistan 6%, draw 15%, and Colombia 79%. Colombia is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group K fixture on Thursday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Uzbekistan 6%, draw 15%, and Colombia 79% — colombia favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia prediction score
Expected scoreline: 1–3 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Uzbekistan 1, Colombia 3). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia head to head
Group K fixture at Mexico City, kickoff Thu 18 Jun, 02:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (UZB #50 vs COL #13), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Model picked Colombia — they took the result. Adds to the running accuracy score.
Ranking gap is the story
Colombia sit 37 places above Uzbekistan in the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #50) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Colombia comes out at 79%, Uzbekistan at 6%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a strong call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Abdukodir KhusanovMan City
- Daniel MuñozCrystal Palace
- Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace
Win 12 months of premium predictions FREE by picking match scores
Pick scorelines for upcoming fixtures. Every correct call moves you up the ladder. No payment, no card. Just predictions.
Start picking →Get this model’s calls before kickoff
One email per matchday: every World Cup 2026 prediction graded ✓/✗ the morning after, plus FIFA Fantasy captain picks. Free, no account needed.
Want your picks & team saved? Create a free account →
Same model. Bigger season.
Onside’s engine called 67 of 80 decisive World Cup matches — 84%, and 24 of 28 in the knockouts. It is now pointed at Fantasy Premier League, where it scores 0.86 mean absolute error across 51,518 out-of-sample predictions.
Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.