The champion
Model favourites: Argentina (defending), France, Spain, England, Brazil.
This page builds throughout the 2026 World Cup. Pre-tournament: the watchlist of what each section is tracking. Mid-tournament: live updates as champions emerge. Post-19-July: the locked recap of who won, how they won, top scorer, best young player, biggest moments, and how the Onside model did vs reality.
Model favourites: Argentina (defending), France, Spain, England, Brazil.
A snapshot of every match the eventual winner played, with model-vs-actual probability divergences.
Golden Boot favourites: Mbappé, Haaland, Kane, Vinícius, Lautaro.
Kopa Trophy favourites: Yamal, Endrick, Doué.
The matchday-by-matchday tracker. Each goal-of-the-tournament candidate, each upset, each red card.
Total goals, total cards, average goals per match, average attendance, save percentage leaders, distance-covered leaders.
How our pre-tournament 10k-Monte-Carlo did vs the actual tournament. Calibration plot + Brier score reveal.
Which WC performances most affect the FPL pre-season window? Pre-tournament pick: Mbappé form line, Haaland minutes, Cole Palmer omission, Bellingham's engine.
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
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Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 1.92. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.